We weathered the storm

Watching the news on Tue‌sday nig‌ht, it would’ve been easy to get discouraged.

Republicans scored major upsets all over the country and took the majority in the U.S. Senate.

But here in the state of Washington, Democrats held back the wave that overwhelmed the rest of the country.

We’re still holding control of the state House as the final votes are counted, and in the state Senate, the status quo was maintained. We reelected every one of our Democratic members of Congress and made history by passing background checks on all gun sales. And we picked up wins in county elections.

Wherever we can, my Democratic colleagues and I will work with the Republicans to find real solutions to the problems our state faces to build a working Washington. If they’re willing, we’ll work with them to fully fund our schools, to repair our unsafe roads and bridges, to create new jobs, to find a solution to our climate crisis, and to build a working Washington that is prepared for a clean energy future.

I will continue fighting to push the state forward, and I’m certainly not willing to let anyone take our state backwards.

With your help, we will continue to make progress for the people of Washington.

I’m proud to stand with you. Thank you for standing with me.

Very truly yours,

Jay Inslee

By CAP Action War Room

A Closer Look At Tuesday’s Races Show Structural, But Also Strategic, Challenges

There’s no denying that Tuesday was a bad day for Democrats. On the morning after the election, we detailed a number of key issues at play in the race and a silver lining. Now, a closer analysis reveals that while structural obstacles were certainly a big reason for GOP gains, they were not the only reason. Public opinion and demography experts Ruy Teixeira and John Halpin explain in a new Center for American Progress issue brief that deep voter pessimism and a lack of an economic agenda from Democrats also contributed to the voting outcomes. This provides an important lesson in the path forward.

The Structural Challenge: Democrats were hurt by the fact that states holding Senate elections this year were disproportionately small and conservative. With over two-thirds of the states having elections in 2014, one might expect that about two-thirds of the voting eligible population voted in the races that determined control of the Senate. But these 34 states had just 53 percent of the total United States voting population. That’s right: 47 percent of the country does not live in the states that just determined the new Senate majority.

The political make-up of the voters in 2014 Senate states leaned Republican as well, as this graphic spells out:

The Strategic Challenge: But these structural challenges don’t explain everything. Comparing the 2014 Senate state with the same states in 2012, Democrats did do worse this year. Mitt Romney’s margin of victory in these states was 2.4 percent in 2012. This year, the margin of victory for all Republican Senate candidates in 2014 was 4.3 percent. That is a 1.9 percent shift more Republican. And in governor’s races, which actually took place in states that leaned blue, Democrats did even worse: in 2012 Obama won these states by a margin of 3.9 percent, while Democratic candidates lost in those states this year by 5.5 percent. That’s 9.4 percent of voters — equivalent to 7 million votes — going toward the GOP.

In their new analysis, Teixeira and Halpin offer a critical evaluation and explanation of why this could be. After going through the exit polls and breaking down how different key constituencies voted, they conclude that “the path forward for Democrats seems straight.”

In order to maximize support among core constituencies and reach further into the Republican hold on white voters, they must develop and promote a sharp vision of economic equality and greater opportunity for those left out of the recovery. An agenda of job creation and investment; higher wages for workers; greater equality for women; college affordability and student-debt reduction; and strong family policies through paid leave, expanded child care support, and universal pre-K can attract a sizable chunk of the white working class, particularly among women and Millennials, and appeal to base voters who are economically pressed.

BOTTOM LINE: Structural challenges made this year a difficult one for Democrats. But strategic challenges connecting with voters anxious about their economic circumstances also offer lessons and provide a path forward going into 2016. Economic opportunity for all Americans, not just the wealthy few, is a message that resonates with voters. Now candidates and elected officials need to advocate for the progressive policies to make that a reality.

Our voices are something that we sometimes take for granted. Could you imagine going about your day where little things such as how you get to work, the food that you eat, or even how you do your hair are decisions that are made for you?

Would you feel angry? Powerless? Disenfranchised?

Our guess — all of the above.

This is why ColorOfChange has launched a powerful national voting campaign #IfTheySpeakForMe focused on the inclusion of Black voices, specifically the voices of Black women. Using hidden cameras, we staged scenarios where people would have to come to terms with how it feels to not have a voice. Click below to see how Black women at a salon respond to a stranger making decisions about their hair.

Isn’t this absurd? How dare some strange man invade your personal space and then determine what is going to happen to you and your body. Our fictional scenario may have been about hair but in the real world, the stakes are much higher. Political leaders are passing legislation about your right to reproductive healthcare, equal pay, the even the freedom to vote. As we prepare for mid-term elections, we cannot allow political leaders who do not have our best interests at heart to make decisions on issues that impact our daily lives. It’s simple — either you speak up or someone will speak for you.

Recently, Black women have emerged as the voting demographic to watch out for, achieving record-breaking turnout in the last few elections. Through the use of social media and powerful video content, #IfTheySpeakForMe gives Black women the opportunity to discuss key election issues and ensure that their voices are heard.

With so much on the line for our communities, voting in this year’s election has become more important than ever. On November 4, let’s get out to vote and speak up for our concerns.

Please, share this video with your family and friends and remember if we don’t speak up, someone else will.

Thanks and Peace,

–Rashad, Arisha, Matt, Aimée, Johnny, Kenneshea, Shani and the entire ColorOfChange.org team.
October 31st, 2014

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By CAP Action War Room

New Report Uncovers The Racially Discriminatory Effects of Provisional Ballots

Leading up to the election, there’s been important attention paid to new voting laws like those in Texas and North Carolina that are erecting more barriers to vote and could disenfranchise hundreds of thousands of eligible, and disproportionately non-white, voters. A new report released today looks at an election issue that generally gets far less attention, but could result in similar problems.

The Center for American Progress report, “Uncounted Votes: The Racially Discriminatory Effects of Provisional Ballots,” is a first-of-its-kind analysis of 2012 election data identifying states where the usage of provisional ballots directly correlated with communities of color and foreign language speaking populations. After looking at all 50 states, the reports identifies 16 states where there is a statistically significant positive relationship between provisional ballots cast and counties with higher minority populations.

What does this mean? It means that it in a good portion of the country during the 2012 election, minority communities were more likely to have to cast provisional ballots. Nearly 25 percent of the more than 2.7 million provisional ballots cast that year were outright rejected, meaning more than 500,000 voters did not have their voices heard. Rejections happen for many reasons, including cumbersome voter registration procedures, restrictive voting laws, poorly maintained voter lists, election office mismanagement, and voter error.

The use of provisional ballots often reflects other problems in the election administration process, though not always. In some case, like when Hurricane Sandy displaced voters in New York and New Jersey, provisional ballots can be used as a failsafe. However, in some situations, they appear to be a used in place of effective election administration. For instance, Philadelphia reported a large amount of provisional ballots cast in 2012 because of significant election administration errors—numerous polling locations did not have accurate polling books. And that disproportionately affected minority voters. Take a look at this comparison between Philadelphia County and Allegheny County (Pittsburgh), which have similar voting-age populations, but vastly different election performance outcomes with respect to provisional ballots:

What can be done to improve a system that in some cases appears to have racially discriminatory effects? Because registration issues are such a big part of why provisional ballots are issued in the first place, the biggest thing that states or the federal government can do is to modernize voter registration. That could mean making registration permanent, regardless of where voters move. It could mean doing what a number of states have already done: allow same-day and online registration, which would dramatically reduce the need for provisional ballots because voters would have immediate solutions to most issues. Online registration would also help cut down on administrative errors associated with the paper registration system and make updating records easier.

BOTTOM LINE: Elections need to be free, fair, and accessible for all eligible voters. When there is evidence, like CAP’s new report lays out, that they are not due to potentially discriminatory aspects of voting laws and election administration, then legal experts and policy makers must take action to reform the process and make sure all voices can be heard.